The 2019 season hasn’t gone as planned for the (4-7) and (3-8), but the two AFC West rivals will go head Clayton Thorson Jersey -to-head on Saturday for a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff from Mile High Stadium. The Chargers have lost their last two games to fall out of the AFC playoff picture, while the Broncos have lost four of five. However, the Broncos have covered the spread in three of their last four games and are now 6-5 against the number this season. Denver will reportedly start rookie quarterback in place of . Los Angeles is up to a 3.5-point favorite after the line opened at one, while the total is 38 in the latest Chargers vs. Broncos odds. Before you make your Week 13 , see the Broncos vs. Chargers picks from the SportsLine Projection Model.The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 13 of the 2019 on a strong 31-20 run that dates back to last season. It’s also on an incredible 93-63 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season Jerome Brown Jersey . The model has also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.Now, it has simulated 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that Chuck Bednarik Jersey the model is leaning over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. The Broncos’ pa s defense is one of the best in the NFL and should give Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers headaches. The Broncos rank fifth in the NFL in pa s defense and haven’t allowed a 300-yard pa ser since Dec. 9 of last season.Meanwhile, Rivers has thrown seven interceptions in his last two games, while the Chargers’ offensive line has given up seven sacks. After a slow start to the season, Broncos linebacker has recorded 3.5 sacks and six tackles for lo s in his last four games, so look for the veteran edge rusher to get after Rivers on Sunday. He’s officially listed as questionable with a knee injury, but reports say he’s likely to suit Jason Peters Jersey up.Los Angeles came up short against Kansas City two weeks ago, falling 24-17. Rivers threw four interceptions and now has seven picks in the Chargers Philadelphia Eagles Jersey ‘ last two games, giving him 14 this season, second most in the NFL. In the first meeting between the teams in Week 5, Rivers threw for 211 yards and two interceptions in a 20-13 defeat.Denver enters the AFC West contest with only 19 touchdowns allowed, good for fourth best in the NFL. As for the Chargers, they come into the game boasting the fourth fewest pa sing yards allowed per game in the league at 219.7.So who wins Chargers vs. Broncos? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations?